Welcome to The Daily 202! Tell your friends to sign up here. On this day in 1948, the Soviet Union blocked all land and water access to West Berlin, prompting the United States and its allies to set up the Berlin Airlift. 🚨 Breaking: The Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending constitutional protection for abortion. Get all the latest coverage from The Post. | | | The big idea | | On Ukraine, can the alliances pass the Putin test? | Japan's Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, President Biden, Germany's Chancellor Olaf Scholz, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, France's President Emmanuel Macron and Italy's Prime Minister Mario Draghi pose for a G-7 leaders' family photo during a NATO summit on Russia's invasion of Ukraine, at the alliance's headquarters in Brussels, on March 24. (Henry Nicholls — Pool/Getty Images) | | The transformed war in Ukraine, the global inflation crisis, soaring energy costs and relations with China will be atop the agenda as President Biden meets with leaders from NATO and the Group of Seven rich democracies on a foreign trip that begins on Saturday. When Biden last met with his peers in March, the allies formed a united front, imposing unprecedented sanctions on Russia over its newly expanded invasion of Ukraine and shoring up NATO's military posture, while the president memorably declared Russian President Vladimir Putin "cannot remain in power." But delight over Ukraine's unexpected early battlefield successes has turned to concern as Moscow refocused on the country's eastern Donbas region and the conflict turned into an artillery-driven war of attrition, giving the edge to Russia's heavy equipment and raw numbers. Here are four things to watch while Biden is in Europe: | - Let's call it "The Putin Test"
| | | | The tax credits that 13 million people currently receive to help lower premiums are set to expire. Blue Cross and Blue Shield companies are working with Congress to ensure everyone has access to affordable care, for the health of America. | | | | | Biden's big foreign policy principle is that democracies can deliver just as well as autocracies — but have to prove this to their people. That's one of the things in play with Russia's war in Ukraine. Back in May, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines told Congress Putin was girding for a "prolonged conflict." U.S. officials have spoken of a fight dragging on potentially for years. But Haines also noted this: "Putin most likely also judges that Russia has a greater ability and willingness to endure challenges than his adversaries and he is probably counting on U.S. and E.U. resolve to weaken as food shortages, inflation, energy prices, get worse." So the first thing to watch is how unified the allies remain. In a preview of the G-7 summit, Biden aides teased the prospect of the group agreeing on a new batch of sanctions on Russia and potential new action to rein in European dependence on Moscow's energy exports. Biden heads to Europe weaker than he was in March, never mind his June 2021 meetings with leaders from NATO and the G-7 followed by a summit with Putin. Democrats fear a drubbing in November's midterm elections. But he's not the only one. Earlier this month, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson survived a no-confidence vote by a margin that wasn't exactly confidence-boosting. And French President Emmanuel Macron romped to reelection in April but last week lost his absolute majority in the legislature, forcing him to form a governing coalition and endangering his agenda. 2. How do you solve a problem like inflation? Like the pandemic before it, inflation is an international, national and local phenomenon. U.S. media coverage of eroding purchasing power tends to keep its focus at home, but it's really a global phenomenon. Like Biden, other world leaders face something of a conundrum, in that they don't have much power to rein it in but face mounting political pressure to do something, anything to pull soaring prices to earth. Sure, the war made things worse, notably in the form of gas prices rocketing upward, with food prices threatening to be close behind. But rising costs predated Putin's fateful February decision. | What will the G-7 leaders do to show they're serious about the problem? 3. Progress on getting Sweden and Finland into NATO This one comes down to Turkey. The 30-member alliance requires every country to agree on admitting a new member — otherwise, the mutual-defense promise at the heart of NATO, that an attack on one is an attack on all, would ring pretty hollow. Turkey — which recently said the upcoming summit in Spain is not a deadline — has opposed membership for Sweden and Finland, accusing both of supporting Kurdish fighters Ankara regards as terrorists, and angry Helsinki and Stockholm won't sell arms to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's government. From Biden on down, senior U.S. officials have been in touch with Turkish counterparts to try to break the logjam. A deal next week seems like a very long shot, but the summit will be an opportunity for leader-to-leader diplomacy. Let's see how it goes. 4. What's Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky going to say? Zelensky will address both summits virtually. The former actor has galvanized international support for Ukraine. And he hasn't been shy about complaining of arms deliveries that are too limited or too slow, and pushing America and its allies to step up economic support. With the war in a kind of bloody stalemate, what will he ask of leaders at each summit? Zelensky has rejected calls to resume negotiations with Moscow and any suggestion Ukraine accept Russian territorial gains since Feb. 24 as the price of peace. But there are signs Europeans are growing impatient and increasingly worried about the economic fallout from the war. And that could change what sort of reception he gets for any new requests or complaints (no matter how justified). | | | What's happening now | | Supreme Court strikes down Roe v. Wade | "The Supreme Court on Friday overturned the fundamental right to abortion established nearly 50 years ago in Roe v. Wade, a stunning reversal that leaves states free to drastically reduce or even outlaw a procedure that abortion rights groups said is key to women's equality and independence," Robert Barnes, Ann E. Marimow, John Wagner and Mariana Alfaro report. | Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. | "Roe was egregiously wrong from the start. Its reasoning was exceptionally weak, and the decision has had damaging consequences. And far from bringing about a national settlement of the abortion issue, Roe and Casey have enflamed debate and deepened division. It is time to heed the Constitution and return the issue of abortion to the people's elected representatives." | | | | House poised to send gun legislation to Biden in response to mass shootings | "Today, the House is poised to pass and send to President Biden legislation that aims to stanch mass gun violence through modest new firearms restrictions and mental health and school security funding. While the bill includes the most significant new gun restrictions since the mid-1990s, its expected passage comes amid the controversy over Thursday's Supreme Court decision that will probably make it easier to carry guns in many of the nation's largest cities," John Wagner and Mariana Alfaro report. | | | Lunchtime reads from The Post | | Roe's demise marks new phase in state-by-state battle over abortion | Abortion rights demonstrators protest outside the United States Supreme Court on Friday. (Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters) | | "The tremors from Friday's sweeping Supreme Court decision to strike down Roe v. Wade will ripple across the country almost immediately, with roughly half of all states poised to ban or drastically restrict abortion," Caroline Kitchener reports. "Thirteen states will outlaw abortion within 30 days with 'trigger bans' that were designed to take effect as soon as Roe was overturned. These laws make an exception for cases where the mother's life is in danger, but most do not include exceptions for rape or incest." | U.S. monkeypox response mirrors early coronavirus missteps, experts say | "Public health experts, including within the Biden administration, are increasingly concerned that the federal government's handling of the largest-ever U.S. monkeypox outbreak is mirroring its cumbersome response to the coronavirus pandemic 2½ years ago, with potentially dire consequences," Lena H. Sun, Dan Diamond and Fenit Nirappil report. "As a result, they said, community transmission is occurring largely undetected, and the critical window in which to control the outbreak is closing quickly." | Echoes of Watergate: Trump's appointees reveal his push to topple Justice Dept. | "In a series of striking moments, nationally televised to millions, the damning testimony from the nation's top law enforcement officials was the closest that the investigation has come to events that unfolded a half-century ago in the Watergate scandal," Michael Kranish and Rosalind S. Helderman report. "Instead of White House tapes, there were the handwritten notes and fly-on-the-wall testimony about Oval Office conversations by [Richard] Donoghue, former acting attorney general Jeffrey Rosen and others. Instead of President Richard M. Nixon's White House counsel warning that there was a 'cancer on the presidency,' there was an account of Trump White House Counsel Pat Cipollone saying that an effort to overturn the election was like a 'murder-suicide pact' that would affect everyone involved." | $53.3 Million. 33 Jobs. No Plan. That's How Mississippi Lawmakers Are Spending BP Oil Spill Money. | "The money that legislators sent to Gautier is part of a $750 million settlement paid by BP to compensate the state for the economic damage caused by the 2010 oil spill. Coastal Mississippi business leaders hoped the money would be used to transform the Gulf Coast economy, attracting new industries, creating jobs and lifting wages in communities dominated by low-paying service jobs," the Sun Herald's Anita Lee reports in a collaboration with ProPublica. "But Mississippi's Gulf Coast Restoration Fund is failing to meet any conventional measure of success for an economic development program, a joint investigation by the Sun Herald and ProPublica found." | 'Unwilling to accept defeat': How Sinema and Murphy clinched guns deal for Dems | "The Senate's Thursday night passage of its bipartisan gun safety bill marked a seminal moment for a Democratic Party that pushed through background check mandates in 1993's Brady Bill but has struggled ever since to reassemble that coalition. Behind this year's effort is a duo who reflects their party's ascendant Generation X as well as the future of the caucus: a coalition of stalwart liberals and Sun Belt moderates," Politico's Burgess Everett and Marianna Levine report. | | | The Biden agenda | | Biden limps to G-7 as allies fret over his troubles at home | President Biden holds a wind turbine size comparison chart while meeting with governors, labor leaders and private companies launching the Federal-State Offshore Wind Implementation Partnership in the Roosevelt Room of the White House on Thursday. (Shawn Thew/EPA/Bloomberg News) | | "German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who will welcome G-7 leaders in the Bavarian Alps, views Biden as a driving force in sustaining pressure on Moscow and believes that unity among allies could fray once again if Republicans win back the White House in 2024, according to a German government official who requested anonymity to discuss internal thinking," Bloomberg News's Jordan Fabian and Jenny Leonard report. | Biden said the G-7 would counter Chinese influence. This year, he'll try again | "Since then, his advisers have worked on the initiative, mostly without fanfare. There has been little tangible progress to herald. But at this year's G-7 summit, which begins Sunday in Germany, Biden plans to relaunch the effort — under a new name — and put forth some initial projects to show how the plan will work," NPR's Tamara Keith reports. | Education Dept. to cancel $6 billion in debt for defrauded borrowers | "Under the proposed settlement, the department will immediately approve thousands of applications filed by people who claimed they were defrauded by their colleges, resolving a three-year-old case between the government and borrowers," Lauren Lumpkin reports. | Gavin Newsom jumps onto the national stage and Bidenworld takes notice | "Newsom has stressed that he isn't challenging President Joe Biden — either on his stewardship of their party or as a candidate in two years … But taken together, the moves have been widely interpreted as a relatively young executive using the specter of a future presidential bid to shine a bright spotlight on himself. And they've been enough to elicit early brushbacks from allies of Biden and Harris," Politico's Christopher Cadelago and David Siders report. | Biden's pick for NATO chief confirmed | "Army Gen. Christopher Cavoli was confirmed Thursday evening as the U.S. and European allies work to help Ukraine blunt Russia's offensive and NATO looks to expand to include Sweden and Finland in the wake of Russian President Vladimir Putin's invasion," Politico's Connor O'Brien reports. | | | Which states are likely to ban abortion, visualized | | | | Hot on the left | | Liz Cheney aims to recruit crossover Democrats in her primary | "Rep. Liz Cheney, the Wyoming Republican fighting for political survival after clashing with former president Donald Trump, has started sending Democrats instructions on how to switch parties and vote for her, underscoring an urgent effort to try to overcome serious vulnerabilities ahead of an August primary," Hannah Knowles, Paul Kane and Mariana Alfaro report. | | | Hot on the right | | Rudy Giuliani's pitch to New York: Hire my son | Andrew Giuliani, son of former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, appears on screen during New York's Republican gubernatorial debate at the studios of Spectrum News NY1 on Monday. (Brittainy Newman/Newsday via AP, Pool) | | "The 36-year-old Andrew Giuliani, running an underdog campaign to become the next governor, has in recent weeks deployed his famous father to far-flung corners of upstate New York with a message for Republican primary voters: My kid is the next big thing. That has kept the first-time candidate firmly at the center of attention as he seeks to pull off an upset win on Tuesday," Politico's Bill Mahoney reports. | | | Today in Washington | | At 12:30 p.m., Biden will address the nation about the Supreme Court's decision overturning Roe v. Wade. | | | In closing | | After Thursday's Supreme Court ruling, Trevor Noah has some suggestions for new gun laws | Trevor Noah | "So this is obviously a big setback for gun safety. But if you ask me, New York just needs to get creative. Yeah, they need to think outside of the box, the same way that Texas did, right? Look at what Texas did with banning abortion — they weren't allowed to ban it, so they just made a crazy new law that basically banned it anyway. That's what New York needs to do with guns. Like, yeah, they should say, 'OK, anyone can buy a gun if they want, but the gun stores are only open on the nights that the Knicks win.'" | | | Thanks for reading. See you next week. | | | | | | |
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